Formation possibilities improve for the disturbance headed toward Florida, according to the NHC

Storm on Caribbean – Courtesy: Shutterstock – Image by Drew McArthur

There’s a medium possibility currently for a tropical disturbance headed toward Florida to form during the course of the next week.

The National Hurricane Center predicts that a tropical wave that is approaching will combine with a region of unsettled weather over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, leading to sluggish development in the aftermath.

According to the NHC, the system may develop into a tropical depression in the region of the Bahamas or the Greater Antilles by mid-to-late week.

While precise predictions on its direction are premature, the WESH 2 First Warning meteorologists are keeping an eye on the system. According to the NHC, anyone living in the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the southeast of the United States should pay particular attention to this.

Since nothing has truly developed yet, the system has models everywhere. There are still days left in the development phase, and officials will have access to more information if the system progresses, assuming it does at all.

As of right now, some Saturday models have the system heading further toward the Gulf of Mexico and others toward the east coast of Florida.

In the European model, the system forms rapidly and approaches Florida closely before traveling up the US east coast. However, as some tropical moisture travels west of the state, the GFS model depicts very little development in the system.

The NHC predicts that formation chances will be close to 0 percent over the next 48 hours and then increase to 50 percent during the next seven days.


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